Noncognitive Factors and Student Long-Run Success: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Observable Academic Behaviors and Social- Emotional Skills


Journal article


Jing Liu, Megan Kuhfeld, Monica Lee
Educational Policy, 2023


View PDF
Cite

Cite

APA   Click to copy
Liu, J., Kuhfeld, M., & Lee, M. (2023). Noncognitive Factors and Student Long-Run Success: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Observable Academic Behaviors and Social- Emotional Skills. Educational Policy. https://doi.org/10.1177/08959048231209262


Chicago/Turabian   Click to copy
Liu, Jing, Megan Kuhfeld, and Monica Lee. “Noncognitive Factors and Student Long-Run Success: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Observable Academic Behaviors and Social- Emotional Skills.” Educational Policy (2023).


MLA   Click to copy
Liu, Jing, et al. “Noncognitive Factors and Student Long-Run Success: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Observable Academic Behaviors and Social- Emotional Skills.” Educational Policy, 2023, doi:10.1177/08959048231209262.


BibTeX   Click to copy

@article{jing2023a,
  title = {Noncognitive Factors and Student Long-Run Success: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Observable Academic Behaviors and Social- Emotional Skills},
  year = {2023},
  journal = {Educational Policy},
  doi = {10.1177/08959048231209262},
  author = {Liu, Jing and Kuhfeld, Megan and Lee, Monica}
}

Noncognitive constructs such as self-efficacy, social awareness, and academic engagement are widely acknowledged as critical components of human capital, but systematic data collection on such skills in school systems is complicated by conceptual ambiguities, measurement challenges and resource constraints. This study addresses this issue by comparing the predictive validity of two most widely used metrics on noncogntive outcomes observable academic behaviors (e.g., absenteeism, suspensions) and student self-reported social and emotional learning (SEL) skills for the likelihood of high school graduation and postsecondary attainment. Our findings suggest that conditional on student demographics and achievement, academic behaviors are several-fold more predictive than SEL skills for all long-run outcomes, and adding SEL skills to a model with academic behaviors improves the model's predictive power minimally. In addition, academic behaviors are particularly strong predictors for low-achieving students' long-run outcomes. Part-day absenteeism (as a result of class skipping) is the largest driver behind the strong predictive power of academic behaviors. Developing more nuanced behavioral measures in existing administrative data systems might be a fruitful strategy for schools whose intended goal centers on predicting students' educational attainment.

Share



Follow this website


You need to create an Owlstown account to follow this website.


Sign up

Already an Owlstown member?

Log in